I’m an Associate Professor in the Economics Department of the University of Texas at Austin and a Faculty Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, in the Healthcare and Public Economics groups. I work on issues in demography, health, and various other topics in applied microeconomics, including the Electoral College. [Bio]

For 2023-2024 I’m on leave from UT-Austin to serve in the Biden/Harris Administration at the White House at the Council of Economic Advisers.

With Dean Spears I’ve written After the Spike: Population, Progress, and the Case for People, now available for preorder.

Some of my recent and ongoing work

The Private Provision of Public Services: Evidence from Random Assignment in Medicaid” with Danil Agafiev Macambira, Anthony Lollo, Chima Ndumele, and Jacob Wallace. Revision requested at The American Economic Review

“The Risk of Narrow, Disputable Results in the U.S. Electoral College: 1836-2020” with Dean Spears. Accepted at The Review of Economics and Statistics.

“Is Less Really More? Comparing the Climate and Productivity Impacts of a Shrinking Population” with Kevin Kuruc, Sangita Vyas, Mark Budolfson, and Dean Spears.

“Heritable Fertility is Not Sufficient for Long-Term Population Growth.” Samuel Arenberg, Kevin Kuruc, Nathan Franz, Sangita Vyas, Nicholas Lawson, Melissa LoPalo, Mark Budolfson, Michael Geruso, and Dean Spears. Demography.